Wizards Update: Just the Numbers

four

As Dean Oliver first wrote, there are four key factors that determine who wins and loses in the NBA. In order of importance: shooting, rebounding, getting to the free throw line and turnovers. So far this season, the data suggests that variation in efg differential accounts for about 44% of variation in scoring differential; rebounding accounts for 26%, getting to the free throw line about 18%, and turnovers about 11%.

How are the Wizards doing? They’re 25th in efg differential, 24th in rebounding differential, 9th in turnover differential and 10th in free throw differential. All that combines to rank 23rd in average scoring margin, which means they haven’t played even as well as their 19th ranked winning percentage might suggest.

At this point, Basketball-Reference forecasts the Wizards to win about 36 games and indicates the team’s odds of winning the draft lottery (2.5%) are about the same as them making the playoffs this season (2.4%).

While the team embarked on an effort to play faster, the results through 25 games indicates they may still benefit by slowing down. The defense appears to be largely unaffected by pace, but the numbers suggest the team may be a bit more efficient in slower-paced games. The effect is small, but at this point the team needs every advantage it can get.

rtg by pace

Player Production Average

The ratings below are a metric I developed called Player Production Average (PPA). In PPA, players are credited for things they do that help a team win, and debited for things that don’t, each in proportion to what causes teams to win and lose. PPA is pace neutral, accounts for defense, and includes an adjustment based on the level of competition faced when a player is on the floor. In PPA, average is 100, higher is better, and replacement level is 45.

League-wide PPA scores through games played 12/20/15 are here.

PLAYER	GAMES	MPG	11/10	11/22	12/3	12/13	PPA
John Wall	25	35.1	153	129	136	168	157
Marcin Gortat	22	30.2	91	112	128	133	132
Otto Porter	24	32.3	144	158	104	116	107
Jared Dudley	24	26.9	36	92	90	85	98
Ramon Sessions	25	19.7	131	119	84	90	87
Bradley Beal	17	36.5	128	108	96	87	87
Nene Hilario	12	17.4	58	90	80	74	79
Gary Neal	23	22.4	23	49	64	75	78
Kris Humphries	20	18.1	90	121	95	80	78
Garrett Temple	23	18.0	38	106	57	54	70
Ryan Hollins	5	9.6			-40	60	59
Drew Gooden	6	12.8	99	51	57	56	56
Kelly Oubre	18	9.3	-103	-4	-40	-44	9
DeJuan Blair	14	9.5	-345	-129	-112	-45	-34

As I’ve been writing seemingly for years now, the Wizards continue to lack elite production. Click over to the full league numbers and you’ll find 11 players with at least 500 minutes who have a PPA of at least 200. Wall ranks 10th among point guards, but in a virtual tie with Reggie Jackson and Rajon Rondo.

This isn’t Wall’s “fault” exactly, he’s a very good player. But he needs more help than he’s getting. Beal ranks 24th among shooting guards, Porter 16th among small forwards, Gortat 18th among centers, and Dudley 31st among power forwards.

Wizards Update: A Silver Lining

As if the 2015-16 Wizards season wasn’t crummy enough, the team released news over the weekend that Bradley Beal would miss at least a couple weeks with yet another stress reaction in his leg. While this was a bummer of a development — especially when combined with Beal’s fourth consecutive season of pedestrian production — I’m writing today not to induce depression, but to give hope.

Wizards point guard John Wall began the season well: after a strong performance against the Spurs, Wall’s PPA (see below) sat at a heady 184 — not an MVP candidate, but probably in the conversation for All-NBA, and definitely All-Star level.

And then, for some reason (possibly a previously undisclosed ankle injury) his production tanked. After four consecutive good-to-great games to start the year, eight of his next ten games rated below average in PPA. In two of the games (at Boston and home against Toronto), Wall rated a net negative; a scary place for the team’s star. After posting a -70 vs. the Raptors, Wall’s PPA for the season stood at a slightly below average 96.

And then…the calendar switched to December and Wall abruptly began playing like an MVP candidate. In the eight games since that -70, Wall has produced a PPA of 300 or better four times, and another three better than 200. His lone dud was a 74 against Phoenix.

Wall’s PPA for October and November was 96. In December: 278. For context, here are the top five full-season PPA scores on record:

Lebron James, MIA, 2012-13 — 282
Stephen Curry, GSW, 2014-15 — 277
Lebron James, CLE, 2008-09 — 275
Michael Jordan, CHI, 1990-91 — 268
Lebron James, CLE, 2009-10 — 267

Now, even posting a 278 the rest of the way won’t get Wall into this year’s MVP conversation because Curry’s PPA is another 70 points better, but still. Wall has been playing great the past couple weeks, and seems to be turning his season around. That’s a genuine reason for optimism.

Player Production Average

League-wide PPA scores through games played 12/03/15 are here.

PLAYER	GAMES	MPG	11/10	11/22	12/3	PPA
John Wall	22	35.0	153	129	136	168
Marcin Gortat	19	29.6	91	112	128	133
Otto Porter	22	33.0	144	158	104	116
Ramon Sessions	22	19.0	131	119	84	90
Bradley Beal	17	36.5	128	108	96	87
Jared Dudley	21	26.5	36	92	90	85
Kris Humphries	17	17.6	90	121	95	80
Gary Neal	20	22.0	23	49	64	75
Nene Hilario	12	17.4	58	90	80	74
Ryan Hollins	5	9.6			-40	60
Drew Gooden	6	12.8	99	51	57	56
Garrett Temple	20	17.6	38	106	57	54
Kelly Oubre	15	6.9	-103	-4	-40	-44
DeJuan Blair	12	8.5	-345	-129	-112	-45

If I could have one Christmas present for the Wizards, it’d be a starting quality power forward.

Wizards Update: The Everyone Problem

worried wall

Good thing for the Wizards that the NBA season is long because if it ended today, they’d be out of the playoffs and looking at a 2.8% chance of getting Ben Simmons in the 2016 draft.

Washington is just 7-9 with a scoring differential (weighted for strength of schedule) that ranks 23rd — more than a point per game below 22nd ranked Sacramento. This isn’t what fans (or many analysts) expected after the team escaped the first round of the playoffs each of the past two seasons. Washington was supposed to be an Eastern Conference contender, an echelon below Cleveland, but still a force to be reckoned with.

Not so much.

Leaving aside the issue of whether those expectations were realistic, what’s wrong? Lots. As Dean Oliver wrote, there are four key factors that determine winning and losing in basketball: shooting from the floor (efg), turnovers, rebounding, and free throws. Shooting is the most important of these, and the Wizards are tied for 18th in shooting from the floor. They’re second worst at controlling the ball. They’re 27th in offensive rebounding. They get to the free throw line frequently (sixth best), but overall they rank 28th thus far in offensive efficiency.

The situation isn’t much better on defense. They’re 22nd in defensive efg, average in defensive rebounding, and do a good job of forcing turnovers and keeping opponents off the free throw line. But, making the other team miss is the decisive factor: they rank 20th in defense.

Who’s at fault? Everyone, really.

The front office assembled a roster without a starter-quality power forward. While they made a good trade for Jared Dudley (solid player in exchange for nothing), he’s a small forward they’re asking to masquerade as a stretch four. He can get by in the S4 role off the bench, but his lack of rebounding (low career numbers even for a SF), size and athleticism gets exposed against starters. Kris Humphries is a backup; Drew Gooden a bench-warmer; Nenê is aging and injured.

The team obviously established a goal of preserving cap space for free agents in 2016, but wasted short-term signings on Gary Neal, Alan Anderson and Ryan Hollins.

So, put “front office” at the top of the “at fault” list — even without diving down the rabbit hole of botched draft picks and free agent acquisitions in previous years.

Next up: the coaching staff. This season, the team’s braintrust decided to enter basketball modernity by cutting back on two-point jump shots and taking more threes. This shift should have helped the offense run more efficiently even with the team shooting slightly worse from three-point range, but Randy Wittman and company confounded the issue by coupling changed shot selection with playing faster.

The problem: playing faster has nothing to do with playing better. Smart coaching emphasizes strategies that improve efficiency. Swapping two-point jumpers for threes, at-rim attempts and free throws is smart. Playing faster because it’s fashionable is not. (Especially when analysis of the team the past few years suggests the Wizards may have been better in slower-paced games.)

There’s room on the “blame bus” for the players, and rightfully so — virtually everyone who wears the Wizards uniform is under-performing. The only players with a PPA (see below) higher than last year are Otto Porter and Gary Neal, and Porter’s production has cratered since a promising start.

Despite back-to-back outstanding games (vs. Cleveland and the Lakers), John Wall’s PPA is 15 points lower than last season. Marcin Gortat’s production is down 42 points. Bradley Beal is “about the same” (down three points in PPA), but now in his fourth season still rates just average.

Kris Humphries, Jared Dudley, Ramon Sessions, Nenê, Drew Gooden, and Garrett Temple are all performing worse so far this season. All are showing double-digit drops in PPA.

For crissake, even DeJuan Blair, coming off the worst season of his career, is performing worse.

While they don’t belong on the “blame bus,” the Eastern Conference gets some credit for Washington’s poor start. Last season, a stat goober whose name I can’t remember (please take/give credit where it’s due if you read this and know who I’m talking about) estimated that top five teams in the East gained about three wins in 2014-15 because of the sorry state of the conference. This year, several Eastern teams improved while the Wizards attempted to be about the same.

How can the Wizards get better?

De-emphasize pace. Stop worrying about trying to be like Golden State, and play at a pace that makes sense for the roster currently in place. Change the emphasis to valuing possessions and getting good shots, and look for offensive efficiency to rise.
Get Wall and Gortat back to normal. Both are established veterans with production levels significantly better than what they’ve done thus far. It’s hard to believe they’re going to continue playing this poorly.
Get improvement from Beal and/or Porter. Unfortunately, Beal continues to show improvement. He’s much the same player (in terms of overall impact) as he was in his rookie year. Porter started the season well, but has struggled since as teams developed a scouting report. Now it’s time for Porter to come up with ways to produce anyway.
Make a trade. They don’t have a starter-quality PF on the roster.

The season is still young and the Wizards are probably going to start playing better. But, that’s what the Nationals kept saying, and then they ran out of games and the story of their 2015 season was they just weren’t good enough. For the Wizards, there’s an added concern because they need to be good enough to persuade a prominent free agent to join the young core.

Player Production Average

League-wide PPA scores through games played 12/03/15 are here.

PLAYER	GAMES	MPG	11/10	11/22	PPA
John Wall	16	33.7	153	129	136
Marcin Gortat	16	28.9	91	112	128
Otto Porter	16	32.1	144	158	104
Bradley Beal	13	35.5	128	108	96
Kris Humphries	16	17.6	90	121	95
Jared Dudley	15	24.7	36	92	90
Ramon Sessions	16	17.8	131	119	84
Nene Hilario	12	17.4	58	90	80
Gary Neal	14	19.6	23	49	64
Drew Gooden	6	12.8	99	51	57
Garrett Temple	14	15.8	38	106	57
Ryan Hollins	1	11.0			-40
Kelly Oubre	11	7.5	-103	-4	-40
DeJuan Blair	6	8.5	-345	-129	-112

Wizards Update: Porter Leading The Way

otto porter

I have to say I’m pretty torn on the Wizards so far. On one hand, they’re 6-4 despite injuries to Bradley Beal, Alan Anderson and Martell Webster, as well as growing pains as they figure out how their personnel can mesh with their new Pace & Space offense.

Sticking with the positives: Otto Porter is having a terrific season (leads the team in PPA — see below), and they’re getting some decent play Ramon Sessions, Nenê and Jared Dudley off the bench.

On the other hand…John Wall — despite his publicly stated desire to be an MVP candidate this season — is performing like a pretty average starter, the team seems to crumble whenever Kris Humphries is on the floor (despite decent production from Humphries), and Marcin Gortat is lost on offense.

Since I believe Wall and Gortat will perform more like they did last season, my biggest area of concern is at power forward. Humphries continues to be fairly productive, and has even added a three-point shot. So far this season, he’s at .412. An analysis I did in July suggested .365 could be anticipated.

The problem: the Wizards collapse when he’s out there. So far, Washington is 5.2 points per 100 possessions worse offensively and 5.9 points per 100 possessions worse defensively (net -11.1 points per 100 possessions) when Humphries is out there. While the results are a bit extreme because of the small sample size, keep in mind the Wizards were worse on both ends of the floor with Humphries last season, and Boston was worse on offense with him out there.

My theory: Humphries plays like my iPhone 4 trying to load an app. When it’s time for business (like catching a pass), there’s a pause, then a blank screen, then a spinning wheel, and then maybe some action. It could be that Humphries is just better against reserves than starters.

Unfortunately, the Wizards don’t really have a viable option to start at power forward. Nenê can’t be relied on in that role, and moving him into the starting lineup leaves the team without a reserve center. I’m dubious about Jared Dudley as a viable option — he’s been a below-average rebounder for a SMALL forward throughout his career. (It’s worth mentioning that in the tiny sample size recorded thus far, Dudley is rebounding at his best rate since his rookie year.)

If the team can’t figure out how to play with Humphries as a starter, they may be forced to start Dudley and take some lumps on the board.

Player Production Average

League-wide PPA scores through games played 11/22/15 are here.

PLAYER	GAMES	MPG	11/10	PPA
Otto Porter	10	32.9	144	158
John Wall	10	32.7	153	129
Kris Humphries	10	20.8	90	121
Ramon Sessions	10	18.0	131	119
Marcin Gortat	10	27.5	91	112
Bradley Beal	7	33.9	128	108
Garrett Temple	8	15.4	38	106
Jared Dudley	9	21.7	36	92
Nene Hilario	9	18.6	58	90
Drew Gooden	6	12.8	99	51
Gary Neal	10	18.7	23	49
Kelly Oubre	6	10.0	-103	-4
DeJuan Blair	4	8.5	-345	-129

Wizards Renovated Offense Needs Time

The Washington Wizards have embarked on a major renovation of their offense, and while the results are decidedly mixed through their first six games, the right thing is to stay the course and see if players can grow into new roles.

Last season, the Wizards were 18th in pace and 28th in three-point attempt rate (the percentage of field goal attempts from three-point range). So far in 2015-16, they’re second in pace (a whopping 8.4 possessions per 48 minutes faster) and 12th in three-point attempt rate.

The positives so far: decent shooting and an uptick in trips to the free throw line. The negatives: the league’s worst turnover rate, a drop-off in rebounding effectiveness, and an elevated opponent shooting percentage.

While patience is warranted as the team figures out how to operate in the new system, the emphasis on playing at a fast pace continues to be a concern for me. Why? Because pace of play has nothing to do with what causes teams to win games. Go through the record of games and seasons, and you’ll find good (and bad) teams that played fast, slow and in-between. What makes sense is for a team to play at a pace where it’s comfortable, where the players are under control, and where it can get good shots and maximize efficiency. If that’s fast, then play fast. If it’s slower, then slow down.

At the risk of oversimplifying, basketball is a game where teams take turns with the ball until the clock runs out. The number of possessions are about the same for each team over the course of a game — sometimes there’s a possession or two variance based on end-of-period exchanges. Playing fast doesn’t get a team extra possessions because no matter how quick they shoot the ball, the other team gets it back. What matters is efficiency — generating more points on your possessions than the other guy does on his.

The emphasis on playing fast — at least as it’s been implemented by the Wizards so far — seems misguided to me. Pushing the ball up the floor every possession is a good strategy because it can stress the defense, catch defenders out of position, and give Washington more time to run its half court offense. But if rushing leads to more turnovers, and weakened defensive rebounding, the strategy is missing the point.

What really concerns me about the “play fast” mantra is the question of whether the Wizards truly have a grasp on what’s important for a team to win. There’s a palpable feeling that they’re mimicking Golden State without a true understanding of why that style of play works for the Warriors, and how it fits Washington’s personnel. What wins games in the NBA? Doing these things better than the opponent (in order of importance): shooting from the floor, controlling turnovers, getting to the free throw line, and rebounding. Pace ain’t on the list.

Player Production Average

PLAYER	GAMES	MPG	PPA
John Wall	6	34.8	153
Otto Porter	6	34.0	144
Ramon Sessions	6	17.2	131
Bradley Beal	6	34.7	128
Drew Gooden	4	15.0	99
Marcin Gortat	6	28.0	91
Kris Humphries	6	20.5	90
Nene Hilario	6	18.0	58
Garrett Temple	4	3.5	38
Jared Dudley	5	21.6	36
Gary Neal	6	17.7	23
Kelly Oubre	3	5.3	-103
DeJuan Blair	2	6.0	-345

In many ways, I find these numbers (drawn from a small sample size) encouraging. The team’s most productive players so far are its youthful trio of high draft picks: John Wall, Otto Porter, and Bradley Beal.

It’s hard to believe veterans like Marcin Gortat and Jared Dudley will continue playing this poorly. Look for Nenê’s production to improve some as well.

On the other hand, don’t expect big jumps in productivity from DeJuan Blair (who apparently has forgotten how to play basketball), Gary Neal and Garrett Temple.

Also, much as I hate to write it, I think Porter’s PPA is ripe for a drop-off. It’s not likely he’ll continue to shoot 70% from two-point range or have a 60-plus percent efg.

About the Wizards New Offense

As a sorta codicil to my Wizards preview at Vice Sports, here’s some background on why the Wizards new “pace & space” offense may not provide as much of a boost to the record as those of us pushing for it might have hoped. And no, this has nothing to do with the house-building performance in the opener at Orlando.

Last season, the Wizards took lots of what Randy Wittman called “good shots.” Wittman’s “good” shots were what us analysts called “the worst shots in the game.” In other words: two-point jumpers. As chronicled in many places around the Internets, the best shots are at-rim, threes, and free throws.

How much better could Washington’s offense have been last season? As economist (and creator of the Wins Produced metric) David Berri might write, with a bit of math I estimated they could have added as much as 1.5 points per 100 possessions merely by having league average shot selection. That may not sound like much, but it translates to 3-4 wins, assuming their defense was the same. In other words, 49-50 wins instead of 46.

So, why am I projecting 42 wins this year instead of 45 or 46? The issue is RELATIVE advantage. Many teams around the league are going to variations of the pace and space. Many teams want to play faster and change their shot mix to emphasize at-rim and three-point attempts.

Improvement from the Wizards offense may be counter-balanced by efficiency improvements in the offenses of other teams, and by the emergence of better defensive strategies as more teams adopt similar offensive playing styles. While the Wizards may be more efficient, other team are likely to be more efficient too — at least until defenses start figuring things out. At which point games will come down to overall talent, execution and as yet undetermined strategic innovations.

Your mileage may vary, but I don’t have much faith in Randy Wittman and his coaching staff to lead the next innovation. That means we’re back to base talent, and the Wizards are about middle of the pack in that area. At least until they sign Kevin Durant next summer.

Projection: Wizards to Win 42

My 2015-16 Wizards preview is up at Vice Sports. I won’t steal my own thunder much, except to say that my projection approach says the Wizards will win 41-42 games this season. Not as encouraging as I’d hoped, and I had some mild surprises in the numbers — younger players not being predicted to improve as much as I’d have intuitively expected.

At any rate, please click over and give it a read at Vice.

The 2015 NBA Draft According to YODA

A few years back, I embarked on an effort to develop a statistically-based, objective method of evaluating prospects for the NBA draft. I make no claims that it’s perfect, but I’ve found the results decent enough, albeit not yet subjected to rigorous analysis. That’s coming.

When I get time.

Someday.

On the Wizards message board at RealGM, I referred to the effort a few times as “Ye Olde Draft Analyzer,” someone called it YODA, and the name stuck. YODA isn’t complex — at least not yet. It’s built on the Player Production Average metric I devised that credits players for things they do to help their teams win, and debits them for things they do that hurt the cause — each in proper proportion. YODA takes each player’s production (box score stats) then applies adjustments for position, age, team strength/level of competition, and objective measures of physical attributes (combine measurements and times).

In general, YODA likes efficient players who shoot well, rebound well, assist without committing turnovers, and generate blocks and steals without fouling too much. Being on a good team that plays a challenging schedule is also helpful, but not determinant — players like Kenneth Faried, Paul Millsap and Danny Granger had excellent ratings despite not playing for traditional powers.

YODA’s biggest limitation is international players. I haven’t had the time to research the numbers posted by prospects overseas, or to objectively assess the quality of the competition they face. Rather than guessing, I’ve chosen to leave them out of the process for now. Given the global nature of the draft, that’s a significant limitation, and it’s one I hope to fix for next year.

My belief on draft strategy is that the smart move is to pick the best player available, even if he doesn’t fit an immediate need. My approach is to first rate players in absolute terms, then group them into tiers of “about the same.” The idea is that when several players of “about the same” quality are available when your team’s pick comes, the team can pick the player they think best fits current needs. But, don’t reach into a lower tier for a perceived need. Just pick the better player and make another move down the road, if necessary.

Here’s this year’s draft in order of both absolute value according to YODA, and divided by tier.

TIER ONE

Karl-Anthony Towns, PF, Kentucky
Jahlil Okafor, C, Duke

TIER TWO

D’Angelo Russell, PG, Ohio State
Frank Kaminsky, C, Wisconsin

TIER THREE

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, SF, Arizona
Kelly Oubre, SF, Kansas (EDITED position due to corrected measurements)
Delon Wright, PG, Utah
Cameron Payne, PG, Murray State
Bobby Portis, PF, Arkansas

TIER FOUR

Justise Winslow, SF, Duke
Myles Turner, C, Texas

TIER FIVE

Jerian Grant, PG, Notre Dame
Robert Upshaw, C, Washington
Willie Cauley-Stein, C, Kentucky
Sam Dekker, SF, Wisconsin
Devin Booker, SG, Kentucky

TIER SIX

Kevon Looney, PF, UCLA
Tyus Jones, PG, Duke
Cliff Alexander, PF/C, Kansas
Terry Rozier, G, Louisville
Justin Anderson, SF, Virginia
Stanley Johnson, SF, Arizona

TIER SEVEN

Briante Weber, PG, VCU
Bryce Jones, SG, Iowa State
Aaron White, PF, Iowa
Trey Lyles, PF, Kentucky
Montrezl Harrell, PF, Louisville

TIER EIGHT

Richaun Holmes, PF, Bowling Green
Pat Connaughton, SG, Notre Dame
R.J. Hunter, SG, Georgia State

In simple terms, the first round grades end with Tier Six. If things go more or less the way the mock drafts predict, the Wizards may be able to select a PG from Tier Three (Delon Wright), or perhaps a PF with potential like Looney.

While I fully expect the Wizards to sell or give away their second round pick, I think there may be some opportunities to get potentially useful players on inexpensive contracts with additional second rounders. I’d be interested in taking a guy like Cliff Alexander, or even Robert Upshaw (assuming he’s medically cleared to play despite a heart condition).

The consensus view on this year’s draft seems to be that it’s top heavy with a steep drop-off in talent after the lottery. I don’t really see that in the numbers. Towns and Okafor are a relatively weak top two, and the drop in ratings isn’t any greater than it is in most years. In other words, it looks like a draft.

Feel free to tweet me if you have questions about specific players. I’ve analyzed most seniors, and virtually all of the early entrants (except for the international players).

EDITED on June 30 when I was able to confirm that Kelly Oubre’s standing reach, as measured at the scouting combine, was incorrect. When the measurement was corrected, Oubre moved from Tier Four to Tier Three.

NBA Playoffs: PPA Update Through Round Two

Just numbers because…no time. This update includes all playoff games through the completion of round two.

Player Production Average (PPA) is an overall rating stat I developed that credits players for things they do that help a team win and debits them for things that hurt the cause. PPA is pace neutral, accounts for defense, and includes a “degree of difficulty” factor based on the level of competition a player faces while on the floor. In PPA, 100 = average, higher is better and replacement level is 45.

Hoping to have some thoughts up about the Wizards tomorrow. Wish me luck.

Player	POS	Age	Tm	G	MPG	PPA
DeMarre Carroll	SF	28	ATL	12	35.2	204
Al Horford	C	28	ATL	12	33.8	188
Paul Millsap	PF	29	ATL	12	35.4	146
Jeff Teague	PG	26	ATL	12	32.3	128
Kyle Korver	SG	33	ATL	12	38.1	111
Shelvin Mack	PG	24	ATL	7	4.9	97
Mike Muscala	PF	23	ATL	6	10.8	94
Mike Scott	PF	26	ATL	8	11.1	84
Dennis Schroder	PG	21	ATL	12	19.8	51
Pero Antic	PF	32	ATL	12	14.7	37
Kent Bazemore	SG	25	ATL	12	16.5	34
John Jenkins	SG	23	ATL	2	2.5	-85
Elton Brand	PF	35	ATL	2	2.0	-212
Jae Crowder	SF	24	BOS	4	25.0	126
Jared Sullinger	PF	22	BOS	4	20.0	110
Tyler Zeller	C	25	BOS	4	22.5	85
Isaiah Thomas	PG	25	BOS	4	29.8	67
Marcus Smart	PG	20	BOS	4	22.5	57
Evan Turner	SG	26	BOS	4	29.5	51
Brandon Bass	PF	29	BOS	4	21.5	49
Avery Bradley	SG	24	BOS	4	33.3	23
Kelly Olynyk	C	23	BOS	4	13.3	20
Jonas Jerebko	PF	27	BOS	4	17.0	-13
Gerald Wallace	SF	32	BOS	1	4.0	-67
Luigi Datome	SF	27	BOS	3	4.7	-86
Phil Pressey	PG	23	BOS	2	2.5	-156
Brook Lopez	C	26	BRK	6	39.0	166
Alan Anderson	SG	32	BRK	6	23.7	122
Joe Johnson	SG	33	BRK	6	41.5	103
Jarrett Jack	PG	31	BRK	6	25.5	94
Deron Williams	PG	30	BRK	6	32.0	87
Markel Brown	SG	23	BRK	2	5.0	68
Thaddeus Young	PF	26	BRK	6	31.7	55
Bojan Bogdanovic	SF	25	BRK	6	34.3	48
Mason Plumlee	C	24	BRK	6	8.2	30
Earl Clark	PF	27	BRK	2	6.5	-45
Darius Morris	PG	24	BRK	1	5.0	-83
Mirza Teletovic	PF	29	BRK	3	5.3	-113
Jerome Jordan	C	28	BRK	1	5.0	-166
Jimmy Butler	SG	25	CHI	12	42.2	183
Pau Gasol	PF	34	CHI	10	31.7	174
E’Twaun Moore	SG	25	CHI	3	3.0	146
Mike Dunleavy	SF	34	CHI	12	32.4	143
Doug McDermott	SF	23	CHI	3	3.3	125
Joakim Noah	C	29	CHI	12	32.9	116
Derrick Rose	PG	26	CHI	12	37.8	111
Taj Gibson	PF	29	CHI	12	23.0	95
Nazr Mohammed	C	37	CHI	3	4.7	64
Kirk Hinrich	SG	34	CHI	10	12.6	53
Nikola Mirotic	PF	23	CHI	11	14.9	20
Tony Snell	SF	23	CHI	11	12.7	9
Aaron Brooks	PG	30	CHI	12	11.0	-11
Kevin Love	PF	26	CLE	4	26.8	167
Kyrie Irving	PG	22	CLE	10	37.1	158
Tristan Thompson	PF	23	CLE	10	32.4	150
LeBron James	SF	30	CLE	10	41.7	140
Iman Shumpert	SG	24	CLE	10	33.3	137
Timofey Mozgov	C	28	CLE	10	25.2	111
J.R. Smith	SG	29	CLE	8	27.9	111
Mike Miller	SF	34	CLE	3	10.3	73
Shawn Marion	SF	36	CLE	3	4.0	48
Matthew Dellavedova	SG	24	CLE	10	18.2	40
James Jones	SF	34	CLE	10	11.8	32
Kendrick Perkins	C	30	CLE	6	4.0	-47
Joe Harris	SG	23	CLE	2	2.0	-253
Al-Farouq Aminu	SF	24	DAL	5	30.0	176
Tyson Chandler	C	32	DAL	5	32.0	160
Charlie Villanueva	PF	30	DAL	5	8.6	135
Monta Ellis	SG	29	DAL	5	39.4	111
Dirk Nowitzki	PF	36	DAL	5	36.2	110
Jose Barea	PG	30	DAL	5	30.8	68
Raymond Felton	PG	30	DAL	3	12.0	19
Rajon Rondo	PG	28	DAL	2	18.5	16
Bernard James	C	29	DAL	1	2.0	0
Greg Smith	PF	24	DAL	1	1.0	0
Amar’e Stoudemire	PF	32	DAL	5	15.0	-2
Devin Harris	PG	31	DAL	4	18.5	-13
Richard Jefferson	SF	34	DAL	4	12.8	-29
Chandler Parsons	SF	26	DAL	1	37.0	-32
Dwight Powell	PF	23	DAL	2	1.5	-79
Stephen Curry	PG	26	GSW	10	38.7	208
Draymond Green	SF	24	GSW	10	37.1	153
Andrew Bogut	C	30	GSW	10	25.9	147
James Michael McAdoo	PF	22	GSW	3	1.7	141
Klay Thompson	SG	24	GSW	10	37.5	133
Harrison Barnes	SF	22	GSW	10	32.9	127
Andre Iguodala	SG	31	GSW	10	27.6	105
Justin Holiday	SG	25	GSW	3	1.7	85
Festus Ezeli	C	25	GSW	10	5.4	65
Shaun Livingston	PG	29	GSW	10	15.8	61
Leandro Barbosa	SG	32	GSW	10	9.7	30
David Lee	PF	31	GSW	5	11.0	27
Marreese Speights	PF	27	GSW	7	7.3	23
Brandon Rush	SG	29	GSW	2	2.0	-145
Dwight Howard	C	29	HOU	12	33.3	178
James Harden	SG	25	HOU	12	36.4	175
Clint Capela	C	20	HOU	12	7.6	97
Josh Smith	PF	29	HOU	12	22.6	95
Trevor Ariza	SF	29	HOU	12	38.1	95
Terrence Jones	PF	23	HOU	12	24.0	88
Jason Terry	SG	37	HOU	12	27.6	83
Corey Brewer	SF	28	HOU	12	25.5	46
Pablo Prigioni	PG	37	HOU	12	19.9	32
Nick Johnson	SG	22	HOU	7	4.3	-6
Joey Dorsey	PF	31	HOU	6	2.2	-33
Kostas Papanikolaou	SF	24	HOU	7	2.4	-188
Chris Paul	PG	29	LAC	12	37.1	224
DeAndre Jordan	C	26	LAC	14	34.4	188
Blake Griffin	PF	25	LAC	14	39.8	183
Spencer Hawes	PF	26	LAC	8	7.1	101
Matt Barnes	SF	34	LAC	14	29.2	65
J.J. Redick	SG	30	LAC	14	38.6	61
Austin Rivers	PG	22	LAC	14	17.9	53
Dahntay Jones	SF	34	LAC	11	1.6	21
Jamal Crawford	SG	34	LAC	14	27.1	21
Lester Hudson	SG	30	LAC	7	5.4	17
Glen Davis	PF	29	LAC	14	10.3	-4
Hedo Turkoglu	SF	35	LAC	11	5.0	-20
Ekpe Udoh	PF	27	LAC	4	3.0	-54
Jordan Adams	SG	20	MEM	4	2.5	208
Russ Smith	PG	23	MEM	2	1.5	184
Marc Gasol	C	30	MEM	11	37.8	155
Jon Leuer	PF	25	MEM	4	2.3	138
Mike Conley	PG	27	MEM	8	30.4	137
Tony Allen	SG	33	MEM	10	27.9	134
Courtney Lee	SG	29	MEM	11	33.4	133
Kosta Koufos	C	25	MEM	11	11.5	132
JaMychal Green	PF	24	MEM	5	1.6	93
Vince Carter	SG	38	MEM	11	17.8	79
Beno Udrih	PG	32	MEM	10	17.5	68
Zach Randolph	PF	33	MEM	11	34.7	66
Nick Calathes	SG	25	MEM	9	14.0	23
Jeff Green	SF	28	MEM	11	27.1	14
Zaza Pachulia	C	30	MIL	6	21.5	141
Jared Dudley	SG	29	MIL	6	18.3	122
John Henson	C	24	MIL	6	25.5	117
Khris Middleton	PF	23	MIL	6	38.7	88
Jerryd Bayless	PG	26	MIL	6	20.0	53
Tyler Ennis	PG	20	MIL	1	16.0	48
Giannis Antetokounmpo	SG	20	MIL	6	33.5	48
Michael Carter-Williams	PG	23	MIL	6	31.8	44
O.J. Mayo	SG	27	MIL	6	26.0	41
Jorge Gutierrez	PG	26	MIL	1	12.0	25
Ersan Ilyasova	PF	27	MIL	6	23.7	22
Johnny O’Bryant	PF	21	MIL	1	12.0	-1
Miles Plumlee	C	26	MIL	1	16.0	-65
Alexis Ajinca	C	26	NOP	3	3.3	242
Anthony Davis	PF	21	NOP	4	43.0	197
Dante Cunningham	PF	27	NOP	4	18.8	142
Quincy Pondexter	SF	26	NOP	4	31.0	95
Omer Asik	C	28	NOP	4	19.8	91
Eric Gordon	SG	26	NOP	4	35.8	85
Ryan Anderson	PF	26	NOP	4	23.8	81
Jrue Holiday	PG	24	NOP	3	18.3	58
Tyreke Evans	SF	25	NOP	4	31.3	50
Norris Cole	PG	26	NOP	4	26.5	-38
Allen Crabbe	SG	22	POR	2	19.5	149
Meyers Leonard	C	22	POR	5	21.2	143
Alonzo Gee	SF	27	POR	1	3.0	133
Joel Freeland	C	27	POR	2	3.5	96
C.J. McCollum	SG	23	POR	5	33.2	93
Robin Lopez	C	26	POR	5	23.4	89
LaMarcus Aldridge	PF	29	POR	5	41.6	80
Nicolas Batum	SF	26	POR	5	41.8	67
Chris Kaman	C	32	POR	3	12.3	56
Damian Lillard	PG	24	POR	5	40.2	54
Steve Blake	PG	34	POR	5	8.6	-25
Arron Afflalo	SG	29	POR	3	20.0	-128
Tim Frazier	PG	24	POR	2	1.5	-309
Tim Duncan	PF	38	SAS	7	35.7	213
Kawhi Leonard	SF	23	SAS	7	35.7	154
Patrick Mills	PG	26	SAS	7	16.0	153
Marco Belinelli	SG	28	SAS	7	16.6	136
Boris Diaw	PF	32	SAS	7	28.3	96
Danny Green	SG	27	SAS	7	29.1	86
Manu Ginobili	SG	37	SAS	7	18.7	80
Cory Joseph	PG	23	SAS	4	5.5	77
Jeff Ayres	PF	27	SAS	3	4.0	44
Tiago Splitter	C	30	SAS	7	17.6	23
Tony Parker	PG	32	SAS	7	30.0	-17
Aron Baynes	C	28	SAS	4	10.0	-51
Matt Bonner	PF	34	SAS	7	5.1	-69
Greg Stiemsma	C	29	TOR	1	2.0	526
Jonas Valanciunas	C	22	TOR	4	26.5	141
Patrick Patterson	PF	25	TOR	4	26.5	121
Amir Johnson	PF	27	TOR	4	28.0	90
DeMar DeRozan	SG	25	TOR	4	39.8	75
Terrence Ross	SF	23	TOR	4	26.8	38
Lou Williams	SG	28	TOR	4	25.5	26
Greivis Vasquez	PG	28	TOR	4	25.3	14
Kyle Lowry	PG	28	TOR	4	32.8	-5
Tyler Hansbrough	PF	29	TOR	4	12.0	-12
James Johnson	PF	27	TOR	2	6.0	-115
Marcin Gortat	C	30	WAS	10	30.7	186
Paul Pierce	SF	37	WAS	10	29.8	149
John Wall	PG	24	WAS	7	39.0	142
Kris Humphries	PF	29	WAS	1	5.0	141
Bradley Beal	SG	21	WAS	10	41.8	132
Otto Porter	SF	21	WAS	10	33.1	120
Nene Hilario	PF	32	WAS	10	25.7	73
Drew Gooden	PF	33	WAS	10	17.8	62
Ramon Sessions	PG	28	WAS	10	21.8	46
Will Bynum	SG	32	WAS	3	10.3	44
Martell Webster	SF	28	WAS	1	4.0	35
Kevin Seraphin	C	25	WAS	6	12.0	34
Garrett Temple	SG	28	WAS	4	6.5	-57
Rasual Butler	SF	35	WAS	2	3.5	-81

NBA Playoffs: PPA Update

Just numbers because…no time. This is through games played on May 10, 2015.

Player	POS	Tm	G	MPG	PPA
DeMarre Carroll	SF	ATL	9	35.2	212
Al Horford	C	ATL	9	32.2	182
Paul Millsap	PF	ATL	9	35.7	174
Kyle Korver	SG	ATL	9	38.2	147
Jeff Teague	PG	ATL	9	32.1	108
Shelvin Mack	PG	ATL	7	4.9	96
Mike Scott	PF	ATL	8	11.1	83
Mike Muscala	PF	ATL	3	8.0	66
Dennis Schroder	PG	ATL	9	17.9	63
Pero Antic	PF	ATL	9	16.7	34
Kent Bazemore	SG	ATL	9	17.7	32
John Jenkins	SG	ATL	2	2.5	-85
Elton Brand	PF	ATL	2	2.0	-212
Jae Crowder	SF	BOS	4	25.0	126
Jared Sullinger	PF	BOS	4	20.0	110
Tyler Zeller	C	BOS	4	22.5	85
Isaiah Thomas	PG	BOS	4	29.8	67
Marcus Smart	PG	BOS	4	22.5	57
Evan Turner	SG	BOS	4	29.5	50
Brandon Bass	PF	BOS	4	21.5	49
Avery Bradley	SG	BOS	4	33.3	23
Kelly Olynyk	C	BOS	4	13.3	20
Jonas Jerebko	PF	BOS	4	17.0	-13
Gerald Wallace	SF	BOS	1	4.0	-68
Luigi Datome	SF	BOS	3	4.7	-87
Phil Pressey	PG	BOS	2	2.5	-158
Brook Lopez	C	BRK	6	39.0	166
Alan Anderson	SG	BRK	6	23.7	122
Joe Johnson	SG	BRK	6	41.5	103
Jarrett Jack	PG	BRK	6	25.5	94
Deron Williams	PG	BRK	6	32.0	87
Markel Brown	SG	BRK	2	5.0	68
Thaddeus Young	PF	BRK	6	31.7	55
Bojan Bogdanovic	SF	BRK	6	34.3	48
Mason Plumlee	C	BRK	6	8.2	30
Earl Clark	PF	BRK	2	6.5	-47
Darius Morris	PG	BRK	1	5.0	-84
Mirza Teletovic	PF	BRK	3	5.3	-115
Jerome Jordan	C	BRK	1	5.0	-168
Jimmy Butler	SG	CHI	10	42.2	195
Pau Gasol	PF	CHI	9	32.6	191
Nazr Mohammed	C	CHI	2	5.5	155
Mike Dunleavy	SF	CHI	10	32.1	137
Derrick Rose	PG	CHI	10	37.6	123
Joakim Noah	C	CHI	10	31.9	120
Doug McDermott	SF	CHI	2	3.5	119
Taj Gibson	PF	CHI	10	23.5	117
Kirk Hinrich	SG	CHI	8	10.4	89
Nikola Mirotic	PF	CHI	9	14.7	10
Tony Snell	SF	CHI	9	14.4	7
E’Twaun Moore	SG	CHI	2	3.0	-5
Aaron Brooks	PG	CHI	10	11.5	-14
Kevin Love	PF	CLE	4	26.8	165
Timofey Mozgov	C	CLE	8	25.5	152
Kyrie Irving	PG	CLE	8	40.0	143
Tristan Thompson	PF	CLE	8	30.6	141
LeBron James	SF	CLE	8	41.9	120
Iman Shumpert	SG	CLE	8	31.9	113
J.R. Smith	SG	CLE	6	26.7	107
Mike Miller	SF	CLE	2	14.5	84
Shawn Marion	SF	CLE	3	4.0	48
James Jones	SF	CLE	8	12.6	28
Matthew Dellavedova	SG	CLE	8	16.3	20
Kendrick Perkins	C	CLE	4	5.0	-4
Joe Harris	SG	CLE	1	2.0	-217
Al-Farouq Aminu	SF	DAL	5	30.0	177
Tyson Chandler	C	DAL	5	32.0	161
Charlie Villanueva	PF	DAL	5	8.6	135
Monta Ellis	SG	DAL	5	39.4	111
Dirk Nowitzki	PF	DAL	5	36.2	109
Jose Barea	PG	DAL	5	30.8	68
Raymond Felton	PG	DAL	3	12.0	18
Rajon Rondo	PG	DAL	2	18.5	15
Bernard James	C	DAL	1	2.0	0
Greg Smith	PF	DAL	1	1.0	0
Amar’e Stoudemire	PF	DAL	5	15.0	-3
Devin Harris	PG	DAL	4	18.5	-14
Richard Jefferson	SF	DAL	4	12.8	-30
Chandler Parsons	SF	DAL	1	37.0	-33
Dwight Powell	PF	DAL	2	1.5	-81
Stephen Curry	PG	GSW	7	39.6	179
Andrew Bogut	C	GSW	7	25.9	159
Harrison Barnes	SF	GSW	7	32.3	151
Draymond Green	SF	GSW	7	38.7	149
Klay Thompson	SG	GSW	7	37.1	130
Festus Ezeli	C	GSW	7	6.3	55
Andre Iguodala	SG	GSW	7	28.0	53
Shaun Livingston	PG	GSW	7	14.4	49
Leandro Barbosa	SG	GSW	7	12.6	35
Marreese Speights	PF	GSW	7	7.3	21
Justin Holiday	SG	GSW	1	1.0	0
David Lee	PF	GSW	2	4.5	-106
James Michael McAdoo	PF	GSW	1	1.0	-285
James Harden	SG	HOU	9	35.7	190
Dwight Howard	C	HOU	9	32.7	167
Jason Terry	SG	HOU	9	26.8	95
Clint Capela	C	HOU	9	7.8	82
Terrence Jones	PF	HOU	9	24.4	78
Trevor Ariza	SF	HOU	9	37.4	64
Josh Smith	PF	HOU	9	22.2	61
Pablo Prigioni	PG	HOU	9	20.7	34
Corey Brewer	SF	HOU	9	26.0	15
Nick Johnson	SG	HOU	5	5.6	-7
Joey Dorsey	PF	HOU	5	2.4	-36
Kostas Papanikolaou	SF	HOU	5	3.0	-199
Chris Paul	PG	LAC	9	36.0	230
DeAndre Jordan	C	LAC	11	34.3	193
Blake Griffin	PF	LAC	11	39.4	193
Spencer Hawes	PF	LAC	5	6.2	102
Austin Rivers	PG	LAC	11	18.3	90
Matt Barnes	SF	LAC	11	30.3	90
Dahntay Jones	SF	LAC	9	1.7	87
J.J. Redick	SG	LAC	11	38.7	81
Jamal Crawford	SG	LAC	11	27.5	41
Lester Hudson	SG	LAC	5	6.8	31
Glen Davis	PF	LAC	11	11.5	1
Hedo Turkoglu	SF	LAC	10	5.1	-23
Ekpe Udoh	PF	LAC	4	3.0	-57
Jordan Adams	SG	MEM	2	1.0	853
Russ Smith	PG	MEM	1	1.0	284
Mike Conley	PG	MEM	5	27.8	192
Marc Gasol	C	MEM	8	37.1	172
Courtney Lee	SG	MEM	8	33.5	161
Tony Allen	SG	MEM	8	32.1	151
Kosta Koufos	C	MEM	8	11.8	141
Beno Udrih	PG	MEM	7	19.6	92
Vince Carter	SG	MEM	8	15.8	73
JaMychal Green	PF	MEM	2	1.0	69
Zach Randolph	PF	MEM	8	35.5	66
Nick Calathes	SG	MEM	6	17.3	18
Jeff Green	SF	MEM	8	25.6	7
Jon Leuer	PF	MEM	2	2.0	-37
Zaza Pachulia	C	MIL	6	21.5	140
Jared Dudley	SG	MIL	6	18.3	122
John Henson	C	MIL	6	25.5	118
Khris Middleton	PF	MIL	6	38.7	88
Jerryd Bayless	PG	MIL	6	20.0	53
Tyler Ennis	PG	MIL	1	16.0	47
Giannis Antetokounmpo	SG	MIL	6	33.5	47
Michael Carter-Williams	PG	MIL	6	31.8	43
O.J. Mayo	SG	MIL	6	26.0	41
Jorge Gutierrez	PG	MIL	1	12.0	24
Ersan Ilyasova	PF	MIL	6	23.7	21
Johnny O’Bryant	PF	MIL	1	12.0	-3
Miles Plumlee	C	MIL	1	16.0	-66
Alexis Ajinca	C	NOP	3	3.3	244
Anthony Davis	PF	NOP	4	43.0	198
Dante Cunningham	PF	NOP	4	18.8	143
Quincy Pondexter	SF	NOP	4	31.0	95
Omer Asik	C	NOP	4	19.8	91
Eric Gordon	SG	NOP	4	35.8	85
Ryan Anderson	PF	NOP	4	23.8	81
Jrue Holiday	PG	NOP	3	18.3	58
Tyreke Evans	SF	NOP	4	31.3	49
Norris Cole	PG	NOP	4	26.5	-39
Allen Crabbe	SG	POR	2	19.5	150
Meyers Leonard	C	POR	5	21.2	144
Alonzo Gee	SF	POR	1	3.0	133
Joel Freeland	C	POR	2	3.5	96
C.J. McCollum	SG	POR	5	33.2	93
Robin Lopez	C	POR	5	23.4	89
LaMarcus Aldridge	PF	POR	5	41.6	79
Nicolas Batum	SF	POR	5	41.8	66
Chris Kaman	C	POR	3	12.3	56
Damian Lillard	PG	POR	5	40.2	54
Steve Blake	PG	POR	5	8.6	-26
Arron Afflalo	SG	POR	3	20.0	-130
Tim Frazier	PG	POR	2	1.5	-312
Tim Duncan	PF	SAS	7	35.7	213
Kawhi Leonard	SF	SAS	7	35.7	154
Patrick Mills	PG	SAS	7	16.0	154
Marco Belinelli	SG	SAS	7	16.6	136
Boris Diaw	PF	SAS	7	28.3	96
Danny Green	SG	SAS	7	29.1	86
Manu Ginobili	SG	SAS	7	18.7	80
Cory Joseph	PG	SAS	4	5.5	77
Jeff Ayres	PF	SAS	3	4.0	43
Tiago Splitter	C	SAS	7	17.6	23
Tony Parker	PG	SAS	7	30.0	-18
Aron Baynes	C	SAS	4	10.0	-52
Matt Bonner	PF	SAS	7	5.1	-70
Greg Stiemsma	C	TOR	1	2.0	530
Jonas Valanciunas	C	TOR	4	26.5	141
Patrick Patterson	PF	TOR	4	26.5	121
Amir Johnson	PF	TOR	4	28.0	90
DeMar DeRozan	SG	TOR	4	39.8	74
Terrence Ross	SF	TOR	4	26.8	38
Lou Williams	SG	TOR	4	25.5	26
Greivis Vasquez	PG	TOR	4	25.3	14
Kyle Lowry	PG	TOR	4	32.8	-6
Tyler Hansbrough	PF	TOR	4	12.0	-13
James Johnson	PF	TOR	2	6.0	-117
Marcin Gortat	C	WAS	7	32.6	227
John Wall	PG	WAS	5	38.2	175
Paul Pierce	SF	WAS	7	29.4	160
Otto Porter	SF	WAS	7	33.3	153
Kris Humphries	PF	WAS	1	5.0	140
Bradley Beal	SG	WAS	7	41.3	109
Drew Gooden	PF	WAS	7	18.3	101
Ramon Sessions	PG	WAS	7	22.6	62
Nene Hilario	PF	WAS	7	24.6	54
Will Bynum	SG	WAS	2	8.5	35
Martell Webster	SF	WAS	1	4.0	34
Kevin Seraphin	C	WAS	5	8.8	-19
Garrett Temple	SG	WAS	2	11.0	-46
Rasual Butler	SF	WAS	2	3.5	-82

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